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Lakers vs. Grizzlies odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Jan. 5 predictions from model on 65-36 roll

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The Los Angeles Lakers take on the Memphis Grizzlies in a nationally televised matchup on Tuesday evening. The same two teams battled on Sunday, with the Lakers prevailing on the road in Memphis. That victory improved Los Angeles to 5-2 this season, while Memphis is just 2-4 overall. The Grizzlies also remain short-handed, with Ja Morant (ankle), Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) and Justise Winslow (hip) headlining projected injury absences.

Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET in Memphis. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Lakers as nine-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 218 in the latest Lakers vs. Grizzlies odds. Before you make any Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 65-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Grizzlies. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies spread: Lakers -9
  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies over-under: 218 points
  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies money line: Lakers -475, Grizzlies +380
  • LAL: The Lakers are 4-2 against the spread in non-division games
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 2-4 against the spread this season

Latest Odds:

Memphis Grizzlies
+9

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers were an elite defensive team last season, and that has carried over to 2020-21. Los Angeles is allowing only 1.06 points per possession, with top-eight marks in shooting efficiency allowed, defensive rebounding and free throw rate allowed. Without Morant, the Grizzlies have been a bottom-tier offense, scoring only 105.5 points per 100 possessions, and Memphis is a bottom-five team in both shooting efficiency and free throw rate this season. 

On the offensive side, the Lakers are No. 2 in the league in shooting efficiency and above-average on the offensive glass. Overall, Los Angeles has a sizable talent advantage on paper, and that is only made more stark by injury issues for Memphis.

Why the Grizzlies can cover 

The Grizzlies are short-handed, but they have a trio of available 15-point scorers in Dillon Brooks, Kyle Anderson and Jonas Valanciunas. Those three players provide scoring in different ways, and Valanciunas keys an offensive rebounding attack that rates in the top-10 on a per-possession basis, pulling down 27.9 percent of available rebounds. 

Memphis is also above-average in ball security, committing a turnover on only 14.8 percent of possessions, and the Lakers struggle to produce turnovers at a rate of only 12.9 percent. Defensively, Memphis is a top-12 team in effective field goal percentage allowed (52.5 percent), and the Grizzlies could make life relatively difficult on the Lakers offense.

How to make Lakers vs. Grizzlies picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with Dennis Schroder and Anderson projected to fall short of their season-long scoring averages. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Grizzlies vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Lakers vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.

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