NFL

Fantasy Football Week 14: Start and Sit

Read more at www.sandiegouniontribune.com

Saints running back Alvin Kamara can’t catch a break (or the football) any more, Packers wide receiver Davante Adams has been really, really good and the Football Team’s tight end Logan Thomas should be on more fantasy rosters. Here’s a look back at Week 13’s games:

WEEK 13 RECAP

Saints 21, Falcons 16: Alvin Kamara was solid running the football with 88 yards and a score, but he was once again an afterthought in the passing game. Kamara only has three receptions (six targets) for seven yards the last three games with Taysom Hill at quarterback. I doubt Drew Brees will return this week, but I’d be mildly surprised if he doesn’t play the following game against Kansas City.

Lions 34, Bears 30: David Montgomery has had a high floor this season thanks to a robust workload, but he’s had a high ceiling the last two games with 254 total yards, three total touchdowns and nine receptions. Montgomery closes out the fantasy season with Houston, Minnesota and Jacksonville.

Browns 41, Titans 35: Kareem Hunt is in a bit of a slump. Despite healthy usage — 41 touches — Hunt has only produced 140 total yards and four receptions (seven targets) over the past three games. A short touchdown run salvaged a miserable day against Philadelphia in Week 11.

Dolphins 19, Bengals 7: DeVante Parker has caught just 57.1 percent of his passes from Tua Tagovailoa this season while his catch rate is 71.4 percent with Ryan Fitzpatrick, according to Pro Football Focus.

Vikings 27, Jaguars 24 (OT): D.J. Chark has had 56-or-fewer yards and zero touchdowns in six of the last seven games.

Raiders 31, Jets 28: Take away Henry Rugg’s game-winning 46-yard touchdown with five seconds remaining and the rookie ends up with two receptions for 38 yards and only three targets. Ruggs was more than capable of having a Justin Jefferson-like impact this season, so it’s confounding why Las Vegas appears committed to using him as a decoy every single week.

Colts 26, Texans 20: Brandin Cooks was reportedly tested for a concussion in this game. Cooks has had several concussions in recent years, so monitor his status closely going forward.

Rams 38, Cardinals 28: Since hurting his shoulder against Seattle, Kyler Murray has exactly five carries and no touchdowns in each of the last three games. This after averaging almost 10 carries, 67 yards and a touchdown before the injury — he scored in eight of nine games to begin the season.

Giants 17, Seahawks 12: Wayne Gallman didn’t score a touchdown for the first time since Week 6, but he did contribute a season-high 135 rushing yards. Zombie Alfred Morris did vulture two touchdowns from Gallman, so it could have been an even better performance.

Packers 30, Eagles 16: Davante Adams has 128 receptions (181 targets), 1,489 yards and 18 touchdowns in his last 16 regular season games.

Patriots 45, Chargers 0: Justin Herbert has finally hit a rough patch. Herbert only has a single touchdown pass against three interceptions and 525 yards the last two games while completing only 54.3 percent of his passes. A matchup with Atlanta should cure what ails him.

Chiefs 22, Broncos 16: Travis Kelce has at least eight receptions, 82 yards or a touchdown in seven of the last eight games.

Bills 34, 49ers 24: Josh Allen maintains a 16-game pace of 4,537 passing yards, 35 passing touchdowns against 11 interceptions, 429 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns. Not bad for the eighth or ninth quarterback (on average) taken in most drafts this season.

Football Team 23, Steelers 17: Logan Thomas is the eighth-best tight end in PPR (ninth in standard) after producing nine receptions, 98 yards and a touchdown. Thomas is still available in over half of most leagues.

Ravens 34, Cowboys 17: Take away a solid performance against Minnesota in Week 11 and Ezekiel Elliott has only produced 407 total yards and no touchdowns since Week 6. He’s only averaging 3.6 yards per carry over that span.

Follow me on Twitter @UTEddieBrown if you have questions throughout the week.

Here’s my best bets for Week 14:

NEW ENGLAND AT L.A. RAMS

Obvious starters: Robert Woods (LAR), Cooper Kupp (LAR), Rams D/ST.

Who to start: Both rookie Cam Akers (LAR) and Darrell Henderson Jr. (LAR) have flex value against a softer-than-usual run defense — I give Akers the slight advantage if you have to choose given his recent usage.

Who to sit: I’m fading Cam Newton (NE) against a defense that hasn’t allowed a single touchdown to quarterbacks in half of its games this season. Damien Harris (NE) is a high-volume flex option in standard formats only. James White (NE) is only a flex option in the deepest PPR formats if you’re desperate. This is a low-ceiling matchup for the Patriots D/ST. I’m fading Jared Goff (LAR) with one-or-fewer touchdown passes in four of the last five games. Tyler Higbee (LAR) and Gerald Everett (LAR) are both touchdown-dependent with a difficult matchup. Malcolm Brown (LAR) remains touchdown-dependent. Josh Reynolds (LAR) is nothing but a lottery ticket with rookie Van Jefferson cutting into his target-share.

Sleeper: Jakobi Meyers (NE) maintains flex potential in most PPR formats with at least six targets in six of the last seven games.

WASHINNGTON AT SAN FRANCISCO

Obvious starters: Terry McLaurin (WAS), Raheem Mostert (SF).

Who to start: J.D. McKissic (WAS) is a solid flex option in PPR with 30 receptions in five games since the bye week and potential for a heavier workload due to injuries. Deebo Samuel (SF) has at least five receptions and 65 yards in four straight games. Rookie Brandon Aiyuk (SF) has at least six receptions, 115 yards or a touchdown in seven of nine games this season. Jordan Reed (SF) is a solid streaming option against a defense that has allowed at least four receptions to tight ends in nine of 12 games this season.

Who to sit: Rookie Antonio Gibson (WAS) is doubtful this week with turf toe. I’m fading Logan Thomas (WAS) because of a difficult matchup with future All-Pro Fred Warner despite Thomas breaking out recently. Peyton Barber (WAS) will always and forever be touchdown-dependent. Alex Smith (WAS) has yet to throw for multiple touchdowns this season. The lack of a pass rush limits the 49ers D/ST potential despite a decent matchup.

Sleeper: A dynamic pass rush is reason to trust the Football Team D/ST against an inconsistent interior offensive line.

HOUSTON AT CHICAGO

Obvious starters: Deshaun Watson (HOU), Brandin Cooks (HOU), Allen Robinson (CHI), David Montgomery (CHI).

Who to start: Consistent volume helps David Johnson (HOU) maintain flex potential. Keke Coutee (HOU) has flex value against a struggling pass defense that has allowed multiple touchdowns to wide receivers in three straight games. Mitchell Trubisky (CHI) is a sneaky streaming option with this matchup, but there’s more risk here than I usually get behind. Rookie Cole Kmet (CHI) has emerged as the top option at tight end for the Bears, which is a valuable role, and this is a good matchup against a defense allowing at least five receptions, 57 yards or a touchdown to the position in nine of 12 games this season.

Who to sit: Duke Johnson (HOU) only has flex potential in the deepest PPR formats. The Texans D/ST only has three interceptions this season. The Bears D/ST has one-or-fewer sacks in half its games this season. Jimmy Graham (CHI) only has three receptions (seven targets) in the last three games. Anthony Miller (CHI) only has flex potential in the deepest PPR formats.

Sleeper: Jordan Akins (HOU) faces a defense that has allowed at least six receptions, 64 yards or a touchdown to tight ends in 11 of 12 games this season — it has allowed a touchdown to tight ends in eight of 12 games.

DALLAS AT CINCINNATI

Obvious starters: Ezekiel Elliott (DAL), Amari Cooper (DAL).

Who to start: Rookie CeeDee Lamb (DAL) has at least four receptions or a touchdown in 11 of 12 games this season. Michael Gallup (DAL) has flex value in deeper PPR formats with at least six receptions in three of the last five games. If you need a lottery ticket at quarterback, I’d consider Andy Dalton (DAL) against his former team. Both Tyler Boyd (CIN) and rookie Tee Higgins (CIN) have flex value thanks to the matchup, but there’s risk with the significant drop-off at quarterback.

Who to sit: It’s hard to recommend the Cowboys D/ST regardless of matchup. I’m fading Giovani Bernard (CIN) despite the matchup, unless you’re happy with 30-50 total yards being the ceiling.

Sleeper: Dalton Schultz (DAL) faces a defense who has allowed 17 receptions, 233 yards and a touchdown to tight ends in the last two games.

KANSAS CITY AT MIAMI

Obvious starters: Patrick Mahomes (KC), Travis Kelce (KC), Tyreek Hill (KC), DeVante Parker (MIA), Mike Gesicki (MIA).

Who to start: Rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC) maintains RB2/flex upside despite a difficult matchup. Sammy Watkins (KC) has flex value in deeper standard leagues with at exactly four receptions and at least six targets in two straight games since returning from injury. Myles Gaskin (MIA) has at least 21 touches in the last four games he has played.

Who to sit: Le’Veon Bell (KC) remains touchdown-dependent with Edwards-Helaire back in the lineup. The Chiefs D/ST has a single sack in the last three games. Mecole Hardman (KC) and Demarcus Robinson (KC) maintain their boom-or-bust status. This is definitely the Dolphins D/ST biggest test.

Sleeper: Rookie Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) will have to air it out to keep pace with Mahomes and Co.

ARIZONA AT N.Y. GIANTS

Obvious starters: Kyler Murray (ARI), DeAndre Hopkins (ARI), Kenyan Drake (ARI), Evan Engram (NYG), Wayne Gallman (NYG).

Who to start: Chase Edmonds (ARI) maintains flex value in PPR formats against a defense who struggles covering running backs in the passing game. Sterling Shepard (NYG) maintains flex value in PPR formats unless Colt McCoy makes another start.

Who to sit: Darius Slayton (NYG) remains a boom-or-bust option. I’m fading both the Giants D/ST and Cardinals D/ST.

Sleeper: Christian Kirk (ARI) faces a beatable secondary who will focus most of its attention on Hopkins.

MINNESOTA AT TAMPA BAY

Obvious starters: Dalvin Cook (MIN), Adam Thielen (MIN), Justin Jefferson (MIN), Mike Evans (TB), Chris Godwin (TB), Tom Brady (TB), Ronald Jones (TB), Rob Gronkowski (TB), Buccaneers D/ST.

Who to start: Kirk Cousins (MIN) is a solid streaming option against a pass defense who has allowed 838 yards and six touchdowns in the previous two games.

Who to sit: The Vikings D/ST remain a boom-or-bust unit. Kyle Rudolph (MIN) and Irv Smith Jr. (MIN) are touchdown-dependent despite the favorable matchup. Leonard Fournette (TB) remains touchdown-dependent.

Sleeper: Antonio Brown (TB) faces a pass defense who has allowed 19 touchdowns to wide receivers this season.

DENVER AT CAROLINA

Obvious starters: Melvin Gordon (DEN), Noah Fant (DEN), Christian McCaffrey (CAR), Robby Anderson (CAR).

Who to start: Tim Patrick (DEN) maintains flex value with at least four receptions or a touchdown in eight of 11 games played this season. D.J. Moore (CAR) and Curtis Samuel (CAR) both are flex worthy if they’re active.

Who to sit: This is a difficult matchup to trust rookie Jerry Jeudy (DEN). Phillip Lindsay (DEN) is averaging 3.0 yards per carry over the past five games. Drew Lock (DEN) isn’t a trustworthy option at this point. Mike Davis (CAR) fades to the background with McCaffrey returning. There are quarterback options with higher upside than Teddy Bridgewater (CAR) this week.

Sleeper: The Panthers D/ST have seven sacks, four fumble recoveries and two touchdowns the last two games and face a turnover-prone quarterback.

TENNESSEE AT JACKSONVILLE

Obvious starters: Derrick Henry (TEN), A.J. Brown (TEN), Ryan Tannehill (TEN), James Robinson (JAC), D.J. Chark Jr. (JAC).

Who to start: Corey Davis (TEN) has at least five receptions or a touchdown in eight of 10 games played this season. You’re starting Jonnu Smith (TEN) if he’s active. Tyler Eifert (JAC) caught a touchdown against the Titans in Week 2 if you’re desperate for a streaming option at tight end.

Who to sit: The matchup is solid, but there is too much risk involved with starting the Titans D/ST in the playoffs. It’s hard to trust Keelan Cole (JAC) despite the matchup with two-or-fewer receptions in four of the last six games. Inconsistent usage makes it hard to trust dynamic rookie Laviska Shenault Jr. (JAC) despite the matchup.

Sleeper: Anthony Firkser (TEN) would have streaming value if Smith remains sidelined against a defense who has allowed nine touchdowns to tight ends in 12 games.

INDIANAPOLIS AT LAS VEGAS

Obvious starters: Jonathan Taylor (IND), Colts D/ST, Darren Waller (LV).

Who to start: Nyheim Hines (IND) maintains his flex value in most PPR formats. T.Y. Hilton (IND) has 12 receptions, 191 yards and two touchdowns in the last two games and faces a very beatable secondary. You’re starting Josh Jacobs (LV) if he’s active (but it doesn’t look good at this point). Devontae Booker (LV) would have flex value in most standard formats if Jacobs remains sidelined. Nelson Agholor (LV) has at least four receptions or a touchdown in eight of 12 games this season.

Who to sit: Rookie Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) is a touchdown-dependent option despite a good matchup. Jordan Wilkins (IND) hasn’t had double-digit touches since Week 9. Trey Burton (IND) is a touchdown-dependent option at tight end. Derek Carr (LV) appears to be alternating good performances, which means he’s due for a bad one here. Rookie Henry Ruggs (LV) remains boom-or-bust.

Sleeper: Philip Rivers (IND) has at least 285 yards and two touchdowns in three straight games.

N.Y. JETS AT SEATTLE

Obvious starters: Russell Wilson (SEA), DK Metcalf (SEA), Tyler Lockett (SEA), Chris Carson (SEA), Seahawks D/ST.

Who to start: Jamison Crowder (NYJ) has at least five receptions or a touchdown in six of eight games played this season.

Who to sit: Frank Gore (NYJ) remains in the NFL’s concussion protocol. Breshad Perriman (NYJ) is nothing more than a lottery ticket with a good matchup this week.

Sleeper: Ty Johnson (NYJ) is a solid flex option if Gore remains sidelined against a run defense who just allowed 188 yards to the Giants.

GREEN BAY AT DETROIT

Obvious starters: Davante Adams (GB), Aaron Jones (GB), Aaron Rodgers (GB), Robert Tonyan (GB), T.J. Hockenson (DET).

Who to start: The Packers D/ST has 10 sacks and forced four turnovers the last two games. Allen Lazard (GB) deserves flex consideration against such a beatable secondary. Rookie D’Andre Swift (DET) has RB2/flex upside if he’s active. Kenny Golladay (DET) remains an obvious start if active. A robust 40 targets in the last four games gives Marvin Jones Jr. (DET) WR2 upside if Golladay remains sidelined. A likely high-scoring affair gives Matthew Stafford (DET) streaming value this week.

Who to sit: Jamaal Williams (GB) remains touchdown-dependent. Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB) remains a boom-or-bust option.

Sleeper: If Swift remains out, Adrian Peterson (DET) has four touchdowns the last two games and the Packers allow 4.6 yards per carry.

NEW ORLEANS AT PHILADELPHIA

Obvious starters: Alvin Kamara (NO), Michael Thomas (NO), Saint D/ST, Miles Sanders (PHI).

Who to start: Taysom Hill (NO) remains a solid streaming option capable of scoring with his arm or legs. Dallas Goedert (PHI) has at least four receptions or a touchdown in four straight games.

Who to sit: Latavius Murray (NO) and Jared Cook (NO) remain touchdown-dependent. Inconsistent usage has knocked Emmanuel Sanders (NO) off the list of flex-worthy options. It’s a bad matchup to trust Zach Ertz (PHI) after he only received four targets last week in his return from injury. Travis Fulgham (PHI) only has four receptions in the last four games. I’m fading the Eagles D/ST against an efficient offense.

Sleeper: Rookie Jalen Reagor (PHI) remains a boom-or-bust option, but if you’re in need of a lottery ticket at flex, he’s the only player capable of kick-starting the Eagles’ offense at receiver.

ATLANTA AT L.A. CHARGERS

Obvious starters: Julio Jones (ATL), Calvin Ridley (ATL), Keenan Allen (LAC), Austin Ekeler (LAC), Justin Herbert (LAC), Hunter Henry (LAC).

Who to start: I expect a bounce-back performance by Todd Gurley (ATL) against a weak run defense. Matt Ryan (ATL) is a solid streaming option against a pass defense that has allowed multiple touchdowns in six of seven games. Hayden Hurst (ATL) faces a defense that has allowed a touchdown to tight ends in five of six games.

Who to sit: Kalen Ballage (LAC) is touchdown-dependent with Ekeler back in the fold. Mike Williams (LAC) remains a boom-or-bust option.

Sleeper: Russell Gage (ATL) maintains flex potential in deeper PPR formats with 14 receptions (25 targets) in the last three games.

PITTSBURGH AT BUFFALO

Obvious starters: Diontae Johnson (PIT), JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT), James Conner (PIT), Ben Roethlisberger (PIT), Eric Ebron (PIT), Steelers D/ST, Josh Allen (BUF), Stefon Diggs (BUF).

Who to start: Rookie Chase Claypool (PIT) has at least six receptions or a touchdown in eight of 12 games this season. Cole Beasley (BUF) maintains flex value in most PPR formats with at least four receptions or a touchdown in nine of 12 games this season.

Who to sit: Benny Snell Jr. (PIT) returns to a backup spot with a healthy Conner returning. I’m fading both Devin Singletary (BUF) and rookie Zack Moss (BUF) with this difficult matchup.

Sleeper: Rookie Gabriel Davis (BUF) has at least 68 yards and a touchdown in three of four games and John Brown remains on the injured reserve list.

BALTIMORE AT CLEVELAND

Obvious starters: Lamar Jackson (BAL), Mark Andrews (BAL), Ravens D/ST, Nick Chubb (CLE), Kareem Hunt (CLE), Jarvis Landry (CLE).

Who to start: Rookie J.K. Dobbins (BAL) deserves flex consideration with at least 70 yards and a touchdown in each of his last two games. Marquise Brown (BAL) has WR3/flex upside with a good matchup and at least four receptions or a touchdown in eight of 12 games this season.

Who to sit: Gus Edwards (BAL) and Mark Ingram (BAL) are touchdown-dependent options this week. Austin Hooper (CLE) remains touchdown-dependent. I’m fading Baker Mayfield (CLE) who has eight touchdowns and seven interceptions in five career games against the Ravens.

Sleeper: Rashard Higgins (CLE) has at least three receptions, 48 yards or a touchdown in six of eight games.

Read more at www.sandiegouniontribune.com

Show More

Related Articles

Back to top button