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Alabama vs. LSU odds: 2021 SEC Tournament championship picks, predictions from proven model

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One team will end a long championship drought when the third-seeded LSU Tigers battle the top-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2021 SEC Tournament championship game on Sunday. The Tigers (18-8), who finished 11-6 in league play, have not won an SEC Tournament crown since 1980, when they defeated Kentucky 80-78. The Crimson Tide (23-6), who rolled to a 16-2 regular-season conference mark, last won the championship in 1991. Alabama swept the season series with LSU, winning 105-75 at Baton Rouge on Jan. 19, and 78-60 at home on Feb. 3.

Tip-off from Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn., is set for 1 p.m. ET. Alabama leads the all-time series 111-74. The Crimson Tide are 6.5-point favorites in the latest LSU vs. Alabama odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 157.5. Before making any Alabama vs. LSU picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $400 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on LSU vs. Alabama in the SEC Tournament 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Alabama vs. LSU:

  • LSU vs. Alabama spread: Alabama -6.5
  • LSU vs. Alabama over-under: 157.5 points
  • LSU vs. Alabama money line: Alabama -300, LSU +240
  • LSU: This is the third consecutive season the Tigers are a top-three seed in the SEC Tournament
  • ALA: The Crimson Tide are 69-53 (.566) all-time in SEC Tournament games

Why Alabama can cover 

The Crimson Tide refuse to lose, rallying from 15 points down in Saturday’s semifinal matchup against Tennessee. Senior forward Herbert Jones came up big against Tennessee, posting a double-double with 21 points and 13 rebounds. Jones is averaging 11.2 points, 6.4 rebounds, 3.3 assists, 1.8 steals and one block per game this season. He has hit 45.2 percent of his field goals, including 44.4 percent of his 3-pointers. He has reached double figures in 17 games, including three double-doubles.

Senior guard John Petty Jr. is also a big reason for Alabama’s success, reaching double digits in 19 games. Although he scored just nine points against Tennessee, he has scored 20 or more points in four games. For the season, Petty is averaging 12.7 points, 5.1 rebounds, two assists and 1.3 steals per game. 

Why LSU can cover

The Tigers also have been dominant of late, winning four in a row and seven of nine. Freshman guard Cameron Thomas has been nearly unstoppable, scoring 21 points in Saturday’s SEC Tournament semifinal win over Arkansas. It was his 20th game scoring 20 or more points, the most in the nation by a Division 1 freshman. For the season, Thomas is averaging 22.9 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He is first in the SEC in scoring (22.9), first in free throw percentage (87.6) and sixth in 3-point field goals per game (2.2).

Also powering LSU is junior guard Ja’Vonte Smart, who has reached double figures in 12 straight games. He has registered one double-double, a 22-point, 11-assist effort at Mississippi State on Feb. 10. He scored in double figures in both games against the Crimson Tide, including 14 at Alabama on Feb. 3. For the season, he is averaging 15.6 points, four assists, 3.4 rebounds and 1.3 steals per game.

How to make LSU vs. Alabama picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 159 points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Alabama vs. LSU? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.

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